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Even MSNBC: This Doesn't Feel Like a Winning Campaign for Hillary Clinton
A good indicator (not Halloween costumes or size of rallies) of the election direction is where a campaign invests their resources the weekend before Election Day. Hillary Clinton sending the President to Michigan and holding rallies in Pennyslvania and New Hampshire? States that she should have locked up? Even MSNBC admits that doesn't sound like the actions of a winning campaign...
The you see the new Des Moines Register poll, that has Trump winning Iowa (a state Obama won twice) by seven points. SEVEN. POINTS.
Donald Trump has surged to a 7-point lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton among Iowa voters. This firmly establishes the Republican presidential nominee as the favorite to win the state’s six electoral votes on Tuesday.Trump leads among several key demographic groups, including men, self-identified independents, young and middle-aged voters. Also, those without a college degree.
Forty-one percent of independents support Trump, compared to 34 percent who back Clinton. Trump likewise leads by 5 percentage points — 43 to 38 — among voters under 35.
Some perspective...
Last time IA approached anything like R+4 (about where Selzer has it right now) was 1968.— Sean T at RCP (@Sean T at RCP) 1478395784.0
Trump up seven in Iowa could be an indicator that the midwest (Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota) isn't as safe for Hillary as people think. Mayhaps the people have finally started paying attention (see Boom! Hillary Clinton is Called Out for Husband’s Rape Cover-Ups and Dear Hillary Clinton Voters: What is WRONG with You People?!).
Hillary, however, is regaining her footing in the national polls. And you can bet your sweet ass that the AFL-CIO, and corrupt, BigUnion money will be on an all out propaganda and intimidation blitz to ensure that their members vote Democrat. Too many people underestimate the influence of big union cronies in the midwest. They hold faaaaaarrr more sway than "big oil" or "big pharma". It's not even close.
Basically, what we're getting at, is just sit back and enjoy Tuesday. It could be a looooooong night...