The big question voters are asked every four years is whether they're better off than they were four years ago. Democrats better hope voters are too busy reading Trump's tweets to look at their bank balances. According to Gallup, a whopping 60 percent say they are better off now, including 60 percent of independents.

Most people outside MSNBC and CNN acknowledge the economy under Trump is solid (see Jim Cramer: Trump’s Economy “The Best Numbers of Our Lives” and CNN Ditches ‘Trump Jobs Tracker’ After Economy Booms). Economic stats can sometimes just be numbers on a piece of paper. Regardless of how good or bad they are, what matters more is whether or not people feel it themselves. Here, 60 percent of people at least felt a big enough improvement in their lives and financial situations to tell a pollster about it.

This was always going to be Trump's race to lose. Trump's record vs. Trump's rhetoric. I honestly don't know which way voters are going to go, and people are going to be arguing that until after Election Day. But if I were running for re-election and all my opponents were varying shades of socialist, I'd want 60 percent of the electorate saying they were better off under me.

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